Filter recipes ranked by out-of-sample consistency · from your validated backtest logs
#1
baseline ROBUST
Robustness 100.0/100 · multi-fold walk-forward · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,307, mean PF 2.24) · PF 1.87 · 0-knob
✓ Profitable as the untouched holdout in every fold. Defensible to take into an A/B · drawdown budget (95th pct): $6,880.
Ranked recipes — 3 contracts
Full sample 2025-01-02 → 2026-05-29 (259 trades) · ranked by complexity-penalized robustness across 4 anchored walk-forward folds (Q3'25, Q4'25, Q1'26, Q2'26) · each fold judges the recipe on an untouched quarter · click any row for fold record, settings & drawdown budget
# Robust Recipe Verdict PF Sortino Green% Max DD R/DD Net Trades Avg/day
1 100.0
baseline ROBUST 1.87 0.28 68% $3,667 10.3 $37,762 259 1.31
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,307 1.35 29 OK
Q4'25 $5,282 1.65 41 OK
Q1'26 $10,789 2.46 51 OK
Q2'26 $6,422 3.49 30 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$4,013
95th-percentile drawdown$6,880
99th-percentile drawdown$8,698
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$37,193
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $37,762 1.87 69% 0.28 $3,667 10.3 68% 259 1.31
2025 $20,552 1.61 66% 0.22 $2,936 7.0 64% 178 1.34
2026 YTD $17,210 2.73 77% 0.43 $1,672 10.3 77% 81 1.25
Robustness 100.0/100 — raw 100 discounted for 0 knobs · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,307, mean PF 2.24)
2 89.3
S:H10 ROBUST 1.86 0.27 68% $2,908 12.6 $36,543 250 1.30
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)10:00
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $710.70 1.19 27 OK
Q4'25 $5,831 1.82 39 OK
Q1'26 $10,404 2.41 50 OK
Q2'26 $6,422 3.49 30 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,774
95th-percentile drawdown$6,361
99th-percentile drawdown$8,111
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$35,878
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $36,543 1.86 69% 0.27 $2,908 12.6 68% 250 1.30
2025 $19,718 1.61 66% 0.21 $2,908 6.8 64% 170 1.32
2026 YTD $16,826 2.69 76% 0.42 $1,672 10.1 77% 80 1.25
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $711, mean PF 2.23)
3 89.3
L:Tue ROBUST 1.92 0.29 69% $2,683 12.3 $32,980 219 1.34
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — daysTue
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,307 1.35 29 OK
Q4'25 $5,942 2.01 35 OK
Q1'26 $9,856 3.29 39 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,544
95th-percentile drawdown$6,098
99th-percentile drawdown$7,689
Prob. of a net-losing run0.1%
Median simulated net$32,615
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $32,980 1.92 70% 0.29 $2,683 12.3 69% 219 1.34
2025 $18,563 1.64 67% 0.23 $2,683 6.9 64% 156 1.38
2026 YTD $14,417 3.10 78% 0.49 $1,672 8.6 80% 63 1.26
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 3 folds (worst $1,307, mean PF 2.22)
4 89.3
L:H14 ROBUST 2.03 0.30 69% $3,497 11.0 $38,566 232 1.23
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)14:00
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,135 1.31 27 OK
Q4'25 $4,426 1.55 37 OK
Q1'26 $11,812 3.20 44 OK
Q2'26 $6,043 3.44 27 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,450
95th-percentile drawdown$5,735
99th-percentile drawdown$7,385
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$38,305
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $38,566 2.03 72% 0.30 $3,497 11.0 69% 232 1.23
2025 $20,711 1.70 68% 0.24 $2,936 7.1 64% 161 1.28
2026 YTD $17,855 3.28 82% 0.45 $1,547 11.5 79% 71 1.13
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,135, mean PF 2.38)
5 89.3
S:H11 ROBUST 1.92 0.28 70% $3,365 10.8 $36,257 244 1.30
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)11:00
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,614 1.57 27 OK
Q4'25 $4,309 1.57 37 OK
Q1'26 $10,055 2.36 49 OK
Q2'26 $6,422 3.49 30 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,240
95th-percentile drawdown$5,629
99th-percentile drawdown$7,220
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$36,222
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $36,257 1.92 70% 0.28 $3,365 10.8 70% 244 1.30
2025 $19,780 1.68 67% 0.23 $2,633 7.5 66% 165 1.33
2026 YTD $16,477 2.65 76% 0.39 $1,981 8.3 77% 79 1.23
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,614, mean PF 2.25)
6 89.3
L:H12 ROBUST 1.82 0.26 68% $3,210 10.7 $34,392 242 1.27
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)12:00
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,114 1.30 27 OK
Q4'25 $4,826 1.60 39 OK
Q1'26 $11,476 2.78 49 OK
Q2'26 $5,608 3.90 26 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$4,096
95th-percentile drawdown$7,263
99th-percentile drawdown$9,377
Prob. of a net-losing run0.1%
Median simulated net$34,495
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $34,392 1.82 69% 0.26 $3,210 10.7 68% 242 1.27
2025 $17,308 1.52 65% 0.19 $2,936 5.9 63% 167 1.31
2026 YTD $17,084 3.04 77% 0.46 $1,672 10.2 78% 75 1.19
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,114, mean PF 2.40)
7 89.3
S:Thu ROBUST 1.82 0.25 70% $2,796 10.7 $29,780 210 1.28
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)
Exclude SHORT entries — daysThu
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q4'25 $3,336 1.52 30 OK
Q1'26 $8,493 2.17 43 OK
Q2'26 $5,977 4.76 26 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,769
95th-percentile drawdown$6,272
99th-percentile drawdown$7,729
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$29,268
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $29,780 1.82 70% 0.25 $2,796 10.7 70% 210 1.28
2025 $15,310 1.56 67% 0.19 $2,796 5.5 66% 141 1.27
2026 YTD $14,470 2.64 77% 0.43 $1,672 8.7 77% 69 1.30
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 3 folds (worst $3,336, mean PF 2.82)
8 89.3
S:H16 ROBUST 1.88 0.28 69% $3,667 10.4 $37,960 255 1.29
Reproducible settings
Contracts3
Exclude LONG entries — hours (ET)
Exclude LONG entries — days
Exclude SHORT entries — hours (ET)16:00
Exclude SHORT entries — days
Take-profit / stopnative strategy exits (no fixed bracket)
Walk-forward folds — each an untouched holdout quarter
QuarterTest net PFTradesResult
Q3'25 $1,307 1.35 29 OK
Q4'25 $5,553 1.71 40 OK
Q1'26 $10,789 2.46 51 OK
Q2'26 $6,422 3.49 30 OK
Drawdown budget — Monte Carlo (5-day block bootstrap, 3 contracts)
Median max drawdown$3,985
95th-percentile drawdown$6,847
99th-percentile drawdown$8,564
Prob. of a net-losing run0.0%
Median simulated net$37,555
Performance attribution
PeriodNetPF WRSortinoMax DD R/DDGreen%TradesAvg/day
Full sample $37,960 1.88 70% 0.28 $3,667 10.4 69% 255 1.29
2025 $20,750 1.63 67% 0.22 $2,936 7.1 65% 174 1.31
2026 YTD $17,210 2.73 77% 0.43 $1,672 10.3 77% 81 1.25
Robustness 89.3/100 — raw 100 discounted for 1 knob · profitable in all 4 folds (worst $1,307, mean PF 2.25)